Homrate = Homicides per 100,000 city residents (natural log)
	Disadvan = A factor representing the level of social and economic disadvantage that combines five highly intercorrelated variables (factor loadings in parentheses): the poverty rate (.934), male unemployment rate (.888), % black (.839), % female-headed families w/own children under 18 (.928), and median family income (-.862)
	Pop = City population in 2000 Census (natural log)
	Same Res = % persons living in same residence 5 or more years
	Divrate = % persons age 15 and over divorced

The data are from the FBI’s 2005 Uniform Crime Report and the 2000 census.

The model was estimated using ordinary least squares on the 2003-2004 average homicide rates for the 67 cities. The parameter estimates from this model were then applied to the 2005 homicide rates. The model explains about 67% of the variation in homicide rates across the cities. The estimation results are as follows:

Homrate = .138 + .597(Disadvan) + .152(Pop) - .011(Same Res) + .062(Divrate)

F_{4, 60} = 31.639;     p < .001;     R2 = .671;     N = 65

The residuals from this model (the observed homicide rates minus the homicide rates predicted by the model) represent that component of each city’s homicide rate that is not explained by the variables in the model. The adjusted homicide rankings are based on the standardized residuals from the model.

See Table-1 for a list of the 65 cities arrayed by the unadjusted and by the adjusted rankings; see Table-2 for an alphabetical listing of the cities.